Publications:
Islam, M. R., Bulut, U., Feria-Arroyo, T. P., Tyshenko, M. G., Oraby, T. (2022). Modeling the Impact of Climate Change on Cervid Chronic Wasting Disease in Semi-Arid South Texas. Frontiers in Epidemiology, 0, 10. https://doi.org/10.3389/FEPID.2022.889280King, K. K., Wang, B., Escobari, D., Oraby, T. (2022) Dynamic effects of falsehoods and corrections on social media: A theoretical modeling and empirical evidence. Journal of Management Information Systems. 38:4, 989-1010
Al-Zoughool, M., Oraby, T., Vainio, H., Gasana, J., et al. (2022) Using a Stochastic Continuous-Time Markov Chain Model to Examine Alternative Timing and Duration of the COVID-19 Lockdown in Kuwait: What Can be Done Now?. Arch Public Health 80, 22
Islam, M.R., Oraby, T., McCombs, A., Chowdhury, M.M., et al. (2021) Evaluation of the United States COVID-19 vaccine allocation strategy. PLoS ONE 16(11): e0259700. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0259700
Jnawali, K., Tyshenko, M. G. and Oraby, T. (2021) Mitigating the externality of diseases of poverty through health aid. R. Soc. open sci.8211450211450
Oraby, T., Tyshenko, M. G., Campo Maldonado, J., Vatcheva, K. et al. (2021). Modeling the Effect of Lockdown Timing as a COVID-19 Control Measure in Countries with Differing Social Contacts. Nature, Scientific Reports, 11(3354).
Tyshenko, M. G., Oraby, T., Longenecker, J. et al. (2021). Analysis of intervention effectiveness using early outbreak transmission dynamics to guide future pandemic management and decision-making in Kuwait, Infectious Disease Modelling, 6, 693-705.
Kristina P. Vatcheva, K., Sifuentes, J., Oraby, T. et al. (2021). Social distancing and testing as optimal strategies against the spread of COVID-19 in the Rio Grande Valley of Texas, Infectious Disease Modelling, 6, 729-742.
Oraby, T., Tyshenko, G. M., Balkhy, H., et al. (2020). Analysis of the Healthcare MERS-CoV Outbreak in King Abdulaziz Medical Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, June-August 2015 using a SEIR Ward Transmission Model. Int J Environ Res Public Health,17 (8), 2936.
Islam, R., Medina, D., Peace, A., Oraby, T. (2020). Integer Versus Fractional Order SEIR Deterministic and Stochastic Models of Measles. Int J Environ Res Public Health, 17 (6), 2014.
Arroyo, T., Aguilar, C., Vazquez, C., et al. (2020). A tale of two cities: Aedes Mosquito surveillance across the Texas-Mexico Border. Subtropical Agriculture and Environments, 71, 12-22.
Mahmoud, A., Alam, T., Sanchez, A., et al. (2020). Stormwater Runoff Quality and Quantity from Permeable and Traditional Pavements in Semi-Arid South Texas. Journal of Environmental Engineering,146 (6), 05020001.
Hight, E.,
Oraby, T., Palacio J., Suazo, E. (first online 2019 - now 2020). On persistence of superoscillations for the Schrödinger equation with time-dependent quadratic Hamiltonians. Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences
Flores, S., Hight, E., Olivares-Vargas, E., et. al. (first online 2019). Exact and numerical solution of stochastic Burgers equations with variable coefficients. Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems, series S.
Oraby, T., Sivaganesan, S., Bowman, J., et. al. (2018). Berkson error adjustment and other exposure surrogates in occupational case-control studies, with application to the Canadian INTEROCC study. Journal of Exposure Science and Environmental Epidemiology, 28, 251-258.
Mohamed, Z., Oraby, T. (2017) Multi-type branching processes modeling of nosocomial epidemics. Stochastics and Quality Control, 32(2), 63-75.
Oraby, T., Al-Zoughool, M., El-Saadany, S. and Krewski, D. (2016) A stochastic model of the bovine spongiform encephalopathy epidemic in Canada. Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health, Part A. Volume 79- Issue 16-17: 677-689.
Al-Zoughool, M., Oraby, T. and Krewski, D. (2016) A Bayesian back-calculation method to estimate the risk of bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) in Canada during the period 1996–2011. Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health, Part A. Volume 79- Issue 16-17: 700-712.
Al-arydah, M., Croteau, M., Oraby, T., Smith?, R. and Krewski, D. (2016) Applications of mathematical modeling in managing the spread of chronic wasting disease (CWD) in wild deer under alternative harvesting scenarios. Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health, Part A. Volume 79- Issue 16-17: 690-699.
Tyshenko, M., Oraby, T., Darshan, S., Westphal, M., Croteau, M., Aspinall, W., Elsaadany, S., Krewski, D., and Cashman, N. (2016) Expert elicitation on the uncertainties associated with chronic wasting disease. Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health, Part A. Volume 79- Issue 16-17: 729-745.
Oraby, T. and Bauch, C. T. (2015) Bounded rationality alters the dynamics of paediatric immunization acceptance. Scientific Reports, 5(10724).
Vasilyeva, O., Oraby, T. and Lutscher, F. (2015) Aggregation and environmental transmission in chronic wasting disease. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 12(1): 209-231.
Oraby, T., Thampi, V. and Bauch, C. (2014) The influence of social norms on the dynamics of vaccinating behaviour for paediatric infectious diseases. Proc. R. Soc. B, 281(1780). DOI 10.1098/rspb.2013.3172
Oraby, T., Vasilyeva, O., Krewski, D. and Lutscher, F. (2014) Modeling seasonal behavior changes and disease transmission with application to chronic wasting disease. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 340: 50-59.
Bauch, C. and Oraby, T. (2013) Assessing the pandemic potential of MERS-CoV. The Lancet, 382(9893): 662-664.
Konsowa, M. and Oraby, T. (2012) Speed of random walk and resistance. Journal of the Korean Statistical Society, 41(4): 445-450.
Tyshenko, M., El-Saadany, S., Oraby, T., Darshan, S., Aspinall, W., Cooke, R. and Krewski, D. (2012) Expert judgment and re-elicitation for prion disease risk uncertainties. International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management, 16(1): 48-77.
El-Saadany, S., Tyshenko, M., Oraby, T., Malcolm, A., Senior, P., Shapiro, A., Catford, A., Salem, T., Wu, J. and Rohwer, R. (2011) The risk to human islet cell transplant recipients of acquiring variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease: A provisional quantitative risk assessment. Transplantation. 92(1): e2-4.
Tyshenko, M., El-Saadany, S., Oraby, T., Darshan, S., Aspinall, W., Cooke, R. and Krewski, D. (2011) Expert elicitation for the judgment of prion disease risk uncertainties. Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health, Part A, 74(2): 261-285.
Far, R., Oraby, T., Bryc, W. and Speicher, R. (2008) On slow-fading MIMO systems with nonseparable correlation. IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory, 54(2): 544-553.
Konsowa, M. and Oraby, T. (2008) Resistance dimensions of branching processes in varying environments trees. Statistics and Probability Letters, 78(1): 67-74.
Oraby, T. (2007) The limiting spectra of Girko's block-matrix. J. Theoret. Probab.,
20(4): 959-970.
Oraby, T. (2007) The spectral laws of Hermitian block-matrices with large random
blocks. Electron. Comm. Probab., 12: 465-476.
Konsowa, M. and Oraby, T. (2003) Fractal dimensions and random walks on random trees. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 116(2): 333-342.
Konsowa, M. and Oraby, T. (2003) Dimensions of random trees. Statistics and Probability Letters, 62(1): 49-60.
Book chapters:
Oraby, T., Tyshenko, M. G., Bhattacharyya, S. (2021). Human Cultural Dimensions and Behavior during COVID-19 Can Lead to Policy Resistance and Economic Losses: A Perspective from Game Theory Analysis. Viral Outbreaks. InTech.
Oraby, T., Bauch, C. T., Anand, M. (2018) The environmental Kuznets curve fails in a globalized socio-ecological metapopulation: a sustainability game theory approach. To appear in Handbook of Statistics: Integrated Population Biology and Modeling, vol. 39.
Oraby, T., El-Saadany, S., Al-Zoughool, M. and Krewski, D. et al. (2012) The Risk of Blood-Borne Viral Infection due to Syringe Re-Use, The Continuum of Health Risk Assessments, Michael G. Tyshenko (Ed.), ISBN: 980-953-307-582-7, InTech.
Tyshenko, M., El-Saadany, S., Oraby, T., Laderoute, M., Wu, J., Aspinall, W. and Krewski, D. (2012) Xenotropic Murine Leukemia Virus-Related Virus as a Case Study: Using a Precautionary Risk Management Approach for Emerging Blood-Borne Pathogens in Canada, The Continuum of Health Risk Assessments, Michael G. Tyshenko (Ed.), ISBN: 980-953-307-582-7, InTech.